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Zacks Advantage Blog

“A Sure Thing” is Usually the Riskiest Investment of All

August 31st, 2023 | Posted in Investing

Another Reason It’s So Important to Manage Risk

For investors seeking attractive long-term returns, there are a lot of risks to navigate when investing in the capital markets. Fortunately, there are also a lot of ways to manage those risks.1

Some risks are very familiar to most investors. Take concentration risk, for example. While investing in just a handful of stocks or a single category of risk assets can potentially generate outsized returns in a given year, it’s also a recipe for high levels of volatility and returns that are too correlated. In the event of pronounced selling pressure, there’s usually no neutralizing force to mitigate downside capture. If the bottom falls out, your portfolio might too.

Then there are lesser-known risks, like interest rate risk. When yields go up, the prices of bonds go down. In the fixed-income world, this can equate to rising interest rates resulting in weak returns on bonds. For long-duration Treasuries over the past two years or so, for instance, that’s meant a long stretch of weak/negative performance.

The return on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds was -4.42% in 2021 and -17.83% in 2022, and additional losses were posted in the first half of 2023. The last time 10-year Treasurys posted back-to-back losses was in the 1950s, but those declines were less than -3%.2

Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight does not appear to be over, and the economy has been performing better than expected in 2023. Both of these factors point to the possibility of higher rates in the future, which could have a direct—and adverse—impact on fixed-income returns. For investors, this means it’s important to actively manage fixed-income portfolios based on forecasts for interest rates, inflation, and economic growth, which is part of our process at Zacks Advantage.


A Better Way Forward for Passive Investors

Passive investing using ETFs has become popular, allowing virtually every investor to participate in the stock market with an ETF index fund that tracks the S&P 500. Unfortunately, these funds make it difficult to beat the market—because an index fund essentially is the market.

Zacks Advantage offers a better way forward: We have always been committed to a research-driven investment process, and we have refined our active investment experience to optimize the passive investment realm. Our actively managed robo advisor offers:

  • Targeted asset allocation
  • Automatic diversification
  • Built-in discipline
  • Simplified investing – with low fees!

Learn more with our free guide, A Better Way Forward: Actively Managing Passive Index Funds 3


Investors are aware that many other risks exist. But there’s one in particular that has come back into focus with the advent of an entirely new asset class – cryptocurrency. The risk is one that is as old as financial markets, but that also still somehow manages to swindle investors out of hard-earned money.

Scams.

According to a Washington Post-Ipsos poll, 10% of Americans have been victims in the past three years, and 20% know of someone who has been scammed. That’s millions and millions of people falling victim to illegal schemes.

This summer brought two headline-grabbing cryptocurrency scams that are worth highlighting, so investors can gain a clearer understanding of how the scams work and what to watch out for.

Scam #1: Richard Schueler, aka Richard Heart

In July, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) charged Schueler with raising over $1 billion in investments in fraudulent, unregistered cryptocurrency offerings. According to the complaint, the SEC said Heart claimed that his Hex token was the first high-yield “blockchain certificate of deposit,” which would pay an average annual return of 38% and make people “rich.” The SEC claims that Schueler had investors pay him in Ethereum (which he then sold for gain), and that he attempted to evade securities laws by asking investors to “sacrifice” instead of “invest” their crypto assets into the fraudulent tokens.4

Meanwhile, Schueler was spending money lavishly on himself. He owned six and seven-figure Rolex’s, sports cars, and a 555-carat black diamond.

Scam #2: Eddy Alexandre

Alexandre started his scam locally, in his church community in New York. He claimed to have built a trading platform called EminiFX, which he told investors and friends was their “sure path to financial freedom.” Alexandre also got more specific with his investors, telling them – according to the complaint, that “if an investor invested $100,000, they would be a millionaire within two to three years.”5

The FBI says the exchange was a fraud.

Over time, Alexandre had solicited some $262.5 million in investment dollars, from tens of thousands of different people in the U.S. and abroad. From September 2021 until he was taken into FBI custody in May 2023, Alexandre raised $59 million. The allure was in the returns – every week, the platform would post returns of at least 5% in investor’s accounts. As part of the evidence gathered by the FBI, there was a photo of a whiteboard from the EminiFX offices that read, “Never less than 5% never more than 9.98%!”

Turns out that Alexandre invested very little of those investment dollars (about $9 million of the $59 million), and the money he did invest didn’t earn a positive return. The FBI complaint shows an online brokerage that posted over $6 million in losses. EminiFX doesn’t appear to have earned any revenue at all.

Instead, $14.7 million ended up in Alexandre’s personal bank account. That helped finance a lavish lifestyle, which included a $155,000 BMW.

Alexandre doesn’t enjoy those perks anymore – he pleaded guilty to one count of commodities fraud in February and has been sentenced to 9 years in prison.

Bottom Line for Investors

In order to earn positive, attractive returns over time, investors have to take risks. But all too often, investors are lured in by the promise of big, fast, seemingly risk-free returns that come with a promise of generating massive wealth quickly. But if it ever seems too good to be true, it’s probably because it is.

Scammers prey on this investor’s desire to make money quickly and easily, but if you’re ever offered a reliably high investment return with very little risk, your immediate first thought should be that something is wrong. Capital markets don’t work that way, and the person claiming that they’ve found a new, innovative way to make money without any risk to the downside is probably lying.

In recent years, passive investing has become a popular approach, allowing virtually every investor to participate in the stock market with an ETF index fund that tracks the S&P 500.

However, a purely passive approach cannot beat the market (because it basically is the market). That’s why Zacks Advantage offers an actively managed robo advisor that:

  • Invests exclusively with ETFs
  • Uses technology to recommend the appropriate mix of equities and bond ETFs to help achieve your investing goal and specific risk tolerance
  • Lowers fees and expenses

Get our free guide, A Better Way Forward: Actively Managing Passive Index Funds 6, to learn the 4 issues that can hold back returns for passive investors, and how Zacks Advantage can help you overcome them.

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*This rating was awarded by The Robo Report on 7/1/2023 in respect of the period 4/1/2023 to 6/30/2023. We do not compensate The Robo Report to obtain this rating. However, we pay compensation to the Robo Report to use their logo in connection with advertising this rating.

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Washington Post. August 2, 2023.

Pages. January 2023.

Zacks Investment Management may amend or rescind the A Better Way Forward: Actively Managing Passive Index Funds guide offer for any reason and at Zacks Investment Management’s discretion.

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. July 31, 2023.

Washington Post. June 10, 2022.

Zacks Investment Management may amend or rescind the A Better Way Forward: Actively Managing Passive Index Funds guide offer for any reason and at Zacks Investment Management’s discretion.

DISCLOSURE

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.

Zacks Advantage is a service offered by Zacks Investment Management, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research.

Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and advice given in this publication without seeking the services of competent and professional legal, tax, or accounting counsel. Publication and distribution of this article is not intended to create, and the information contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.

Any projections, targets, or estimates in this report are forward looking statements and are based on the firm’s research, analysis, and assumptions. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Clients should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed in this presentation.

Certain economic and market information contained herein has been obtained from published sources prepared by other parties. Zacks Investment Management does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Further, no third party has assumed responsibility for independently verifying the information contained herein and accordingly no such persons make any representations with respect to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the information provided herein. Unless otherwise indicated, market analysis and conclusions are based upon opinions or assumptions that Zacks Investment Management considers to be reasonable. Any investment inherently involves a high degree of risk, beyond any specific risks discussed herein.

The S&P 500 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 500 large-company common stocks, mainly blue-chip stocks, selected by Standard & Poor’s. The S&P 500 Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect advisory fees. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.

Robo investments are subject to some unique risks, including, but not limited to, the fact that investment decisions are made by algorithms based on investors’ answers to questions, there is a lack of human involvement, and there is the possibility that the software may not always perform exactly as intended or disclosed. Such investment programs are only suitable for investors who can bear the risk of a complete loss of their investments.

The S&P GSCI is the first major investable commodity index. It is one of the most widely recognized benchmarks that is broad-based and production weighted to represent the global commodity market beta. The index is designed to be investable by including the most liquid commodity futures, and provides diversification with low correlations to other asset classes. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.

The NASDAQ-100 Index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial companies listed on The NASDAQ Stock Market based on market capitalization. The Index reflects companies across major industry groups including computer hardware and software, telecommunications, retail/wholesale trade and biotechnology. Index composition is reviewed on an annual basis in December. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss

Zacks Advantage is a service offered by Zacks Investment Management, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. All material in presented on this page is for informational purposes only and no recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. Nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but we do not guarantee accuracy or completeness. Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is not engaged in rendering legal, tax, accounting or other professional services. Publication and distribution of this article is not intended to create, and the information contained herein does not constitute, an attorney- client relationship. Do not act or rely upon the information and advice given in this publication without seeking the services of competent and professional legal, tax, or accounting counsel.